NVIDIA Corporation
NasdaqGS-NVDA
BUILD UP FREE CASH | 2022-01-30 (A) | 2023-01-29 (A) | 2024-01-28 (A) | 2025-01-31 (E) | 2026-01-31 (E) | 2027-01-31 (E) | 2028-01-31 (E) | 2029-01-31 (E) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | 26,914.0 | 26,974.0 | 60,922.0 | 125,572.8 | 175,786.1 | 207,237.6 | 207,237.6 | 207,237.6 |
Revenue % Chg. | 61.4% | 0.2% | 125.9% | |||||
EBIT | 10,041.0 | 5,577.0 | 32,972.0 | 82,870.3 | 114,907.8 | 136,996.4 | 136,996.4 | 136,996.4 |
EBIT Margin | 37.3% | 20.7% | 54.1% | |||||
Tax Rate | 1.9% | -4.5% | 12.0% | |||||
NOPAT | 9,850.1 | 5,826.4 | 29,015.5 | 68,862.1 | 95,322.9 | 113,609.1 | 113,609.1 | 113,609.1 |
NOPAT Margin | 36.6% | 21.6% | 47.6% | 54.8% | 54.2% | 54.8% | 54.8% | 54.8% |
D&A | 1,174.0 | 1,544.0 | 1,508.0 | 1,677.2 | 1,972.7 | 1,852.7 | 1,852.7 | 1,852.7 |
D&A / Revenue | 4.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | |||||
Capex | -976.0 | -1,833.0 | -1,069.0 | -2,557.9 | -2,853.4 | -3,171.7 | -3,171.7 | -3,171.7 |
Capex / Revenue | -3.6% | -6.8% | -1.8% | |||||
Chg. NWC | -3,363.0 | -2,207.0 | -3,722.0 | -11,212.3 | -15,695.8 | -18,504.1 | -18,504.1 | -18,504.1 |
Chg. NWC / Revenue | -12.5% | -8.2% | -6.1% | |||||
Unlevered FCF (UFCF) | 6,685.1 | 3,330.4 | 25,732.5 | 56,769.0 | 78,746.4 | 93,786.0 | 93,786.0 | 93,786.0 |
UFCF % Chg. | 71.2% | -50.2% | 672.6% | 120.6% | 38.7% | 19.1% | — | — |
PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 50,779.1 | 63,005.4 | 67,121.0 | 60,038.8 | 53,703.8 |
Sum of PV of UFCF | — | — | — | 50,779.1 | 113,784.5 | 180,905.5 | 240,944.3 | 294,648.1 |
Cost of Debt | |
Tax Rate | |
After Tax Cost of Debt | 2.2% |
Risk Free Rate | |
Market Risk Premium | |
Beta | 1.7 |
Cost of Equity | 11.8% |
Total Debt | 11,056.0 |
Market Cap | 2,891,351.1 |
Total Capital | 2,902,407.1 |
Debt Weighting | 0.4% |
Equity Weighting | 99.6% |
WACC | 11.8% |
Exit Multiple EV/FCF | |
Terminal Value | 2,866,566.1 |
PV of Terminal Value | 1,468,259.3 |
Cumulative PV of UFCF | 294,648.1 |
Net Debt | -24,785.0 |
Equity Value | 1,787,692.4 |
Shares Outstanding | 24,530.0 |
Implied Share Price | 72.9 |
Current Share Price | 117.9 |
Implied Upside / (Downside) | -38.2% |